| 单词 | the maturity of chances | 
| 释义 | > as lemmasthe maturity of (the) chances  6.  Gambling.  the maturity of (the) chances 				 [after French la maturité des chances (1861 in the passage translated in quot. 1870)]			: the modification of probabilities relating to future events which is erroneously supposed to come about as a result of past independent events of chance (the premise being more commonly known as the Monte Carlo fallacy: see Monte Carlo n. 2b). ΚΠ 1870    A. Steinmetz tr.  J. E. Robert-Houdin in  Gaming Table II. viii. 255  				This is the most elementary of the theories on probabilities; it is termed the maturity of the chances. 1952    H. C. Levinson Sci. Chance vi. 59  				If a player [at roulette] believes in ‘the maturity of the chances’, he is logically justified in expecting to win on a system that calls for increased bets after successive losses. 1986    Stud. Hist. Philos. Sci. 17 327  				This phenomenon is aptly named the maturity of chances: when a particular possible outcome of some chance device has not been realized for a while, it will become more and more mature, until it falls like a ripe apple from its tree, into reality. < as lemmas | 
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