a measure or estimate of the degree of confidence one may have in the occurrence of an event, defined by subjective criteria
Examples of 'subjective probability' in a sentence
subjective probability
These results were replicated in a second experiment that also asked participants to state their subjective probability of winning.
Victoria Gilliland, John C. Dunn 2008, 'Decision making in civil disputes', Judgment and Decision Makinghttp://journal.sjdm.org/8610/jdm8610.pdf. Retrieved from DOAJ CC BY 4.0 (https://creativecommons.org/licenses/by-sa/4.0/legalcode)
If we still regard the belief degree as a subjective probability, the derived results will exceed our expectations.
Chunxiao Zhang, Congrong Guo, Shenghui Yi 2014, 'Airline Overbooking Problem with Uncertain No-Shows', Journal of Applied Mathematicshttp://dx.doi.org/10.1155/2014/304217. Retrieved from DOAJ CC BY 4.0 (https://creativecommons.org/licenses/by-sa/4.0/legalcode)
Evaluation of those subjective probability distributions suggests that all participants' judgments converged toward the observed outcome distribution.
Erica Catherine Yu, David Albert Lagnado 2012, 'The influence of initial beliefs on judgments of probability', Frontiers in Psychologyhttp://journal.frontiersin.org/Journal/10.3389/fpsyg.2012.00381/full. Retrieved from DOAJ CC BY 4.0 (https://creativecommons.org/licenses/by-sa/4.0/legalcode)