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单词 likelihood
释义

likelihoodn.

Brit. /ˈlʌɪklɪhʊd/, U.S. /ˈlaɪkliˌ(h)ʊd/
Forms:

α. late Middle English lickelihode, late Middle English liklihode, late Middle English liklihood, late Middle English liklyhode, late Middle English lyckelyhode, late Middle English lykeleod, late Middle English lykelyhod, late Middle English lyklihode, late Middle English–1500s likelihode, late Middle English–1500s likelyhode, late Middle English–1500s lyklyhod, late Middle English–1500s lyklyhode, 1500s lightliwode, 1500s likelihoode, 1500s likelyhod, 1500s lykelihoode, 1500s lykeliodde, 1500s lykelyhode, 1500s lykelyhood, 1500s lyklihoode, 1500s–1600s likelyhoode, 1500s–1600s liklyhoode, 1500s–1700s likelyhood, 1500s– likelihood; also Scottish pre-1700 likliehoid, pre-1700 likliehoode, pre-1700 liklihood, pre-1700 lyklyhod, pre-1700 lyklyhode.

β. 1500s likelhode, 1500s likeloode, 1500s lykelhod, 1500s lykelhood, 1600s likelhood.

Origin: Formed within English, by derivation. Etymons: likely adj., -hood suffix.
Etymology: < likely adj. + -hood suffix. Compare likelihead n. and likeliness n.
1.
a. The quality or fact of being likely or probable; probability; an instance of this. Frequently with of or that.Earliest in by likelihood at Phrases 1.to take likelihood: (in quot. 1509) to infer as a probability.
ΘΚΠ
the mind > mental capacity > belief > uncertainty, doubt, hesitation > probability, likelihood > [noun]
weenOE
likeliheadc1405
likelinessc1405
likelihood1427
probabilityc1443
probablenessc1443
likehood1525
towardness1549
main chance1577
towardliness1579
the mind > mental capacity > belief > uncertainty, doubt, hesitation > probability, likelihood > [noun] > instance(s) of
probabilityc1454
probable1638
feasible1661
likelihood1759
1427 in H. Nicolas Proc. & Ordinances Privy Council (1834) III. 263 (MED) Þe wardeins and oþer persones..suche as by lyklihode shuld have most knowleche in þat behalf.
c1443 R. Pecock Reule of Crysten Religioun (1927) 31 (MED) If he haue of þis seid..questioun eny certeynte, liklihode, or probabilnes, þat he helde it forþ wiþoute eny hidyng.
1488 W. Paston in Paston Lett. & Papers (2004) I. 656 They sey [= saw] no lykeleod that they schuld haue lycens.
1509 J. Fisher Mornynge Remembraunce Countesse of Rychemonde (de Worde) sig. Bvi Who may not nowe take euydent lyklyhode & coniecture vpon this, yt[etc.].
1583 P. Stubbes Second Pt. Anat. Abuses sig. C6 The prince may pardon the offender, if there appeere likelyhoode of amendment in him.
1611 M. Smith in Bible (King James) Transl. to Rdr. sig. A4 Neither is there any likelihood, that enuie and malignitie died.
1634 J. Levett Ordering of Bees 38 In May or June..there is no great likelihood of a second or third swarm.
a1656 Bp. J. Hall Shaking of Olive-tree (1660) i. 9 Hearing of the likelyhood of my removal.
1717 Entertainer No. 7 (1718) 39 The State may be in great Likelihood to suffer Shipwreck.
1759 B. Langton Idler 28 July 233 There was a likelihood of rain.
1856 J. A. Froude Hist. Eng. (1858) II. ix. 397 That he really might be too late appeared an immediate likelihood.
1877 E. A. Freeman Hist. Norman Conquest (ed. 3) I. v. 301 This story..has strong internal likelihood in its favour.
1904 J. London Sea-wolf xxviii. 270 Where we were I did not know, though there was quite a likelihood that we were in the vicinity of the Ghost.
1963 Columbia Law Rev. 63 672 We can rationally measure the danger and its likelihood.
2008 J. B. Helfgott Criminal Behavior v. 147 Most people have a much higher likelihood of dying from their own bad habits than they do at the hands of a serial killer.
b. With the. The probable fact, situation, or outcome; (also in earlier use) the probable amount.
ΘΚΠ
the mind > mental capacity > belief > uncertainty, doubt, hesitation > probability, likelihood > [noun] > that which is probable > in amount
likelihood1455
likenessa1475
1455–6 Rolls of Parl.: Henry VI (Electronic ed.) Parl. July 1455 §36. m. 21 The lyklyhode of the costes and expenses..weyed and considered.
1542 H. Brinkelow Lamentacion sig. Avii Yee and yet knowe not you, whether they heare you or not, as the likelyhod is they do not.
1569 T. Norton To Queenes Deceiued Subj. sig. E.ij The likelyhode is that you are the more led to thinke this surmise true.
1770 R. Griffith & E. Griffith Lett. Henry & Frances V. dcxvi. 130 The Likelihood is rather that I may set off before, than stay after, my Business is done.
1868 Latter-day Saints' Millennial Star 28 Dec. 819/1 There was an anxiety in our camp, as the likelihood was that so soon as the death of the Indians was discovered by their friends, they might give us further annoyance.
1894 G. Meredith Lord Ormont III. xii. 241 The likelihood is, she'll feel bound in honour to serve him faithfully for the rest of their wedded days.
1903 N.E.D. at Likelihood Mod. Sc. The likelihood is I'll not be able to go.
1963 W. F. Buckley Rumbles Left & Right 189 He spent his days in and out of a sickbed, from which the likelihood was that he would never again emerge physically whole.
2015 Employee Benefit Advisor 13 20 Expect the best, plan for the worst, and the likelihood is that reality will be somewhere in between.
c. Statistics. The probability (or value of the probability density function) of a given outcome of a statistical model of a trial, regarded as a function of the parameters of that model; = likelihood function n. at Compounds.The statistical notion of likelihood is frequently used as a means of estimating the values of one or more of the unknown parameters of a statistical model.
ΘΚΠ
the world > relative properties > number > probability or statistics > [noun] > likelihood
likelihood1921
maximum likelihood1922
likelihood ratio1931
likelihood function1932
1921 R. A. Fisher in Metron 1 iv. 24 The complete solution of this problem would be to find the probability integral of the distribution of p... What we can find from this sample is the likelihood of any particular value of p, if we define the likelihood as a quantity proportional to the probability that, from a population having that particular value of p, a sample having the observed value r, should be obtained.
1933 Med. Res. Council Special Rep. Ser. No. 183. 39 The conception of likelihood was introduced by Fisher in 1921, but..its properties are not yet universally known.
1987 Nature 25 June 663/1 They had ignored the distinction between probability and likelihood, thereby committing a logical error which had led them to estimate the probability with unjustified precision.
2010 M. Aitken Statist. Inference ii. 47 We are misleading ourselves in thinking that the uncertainty in the likelihood has been eliminated.
2. Likeness, resemblance, similarity. Also: an instance of this, a semblance. Cf. likeliness n. 2. Obsolete.
ΘΚΠ
the world > relative properties > relationship > similarity > [noun]
anlikenessOE
ylikenessOE
likenessa1250
likeliheada1393
resemblancea1393
likeliness?a1425
similitudec1425
semblingc1440
alikenessc1450
assemblance1485
agreement1495
likelihood1495
agreeance1525
analogy1542
simility1543
semblablenessc1550
semblance1576
nearness1577
vicinity1594
simile1604
assimilation1605
consimilitude1610
parity1612
bly1615
similarity1615
connaturality1621
similiancy1622
connaturalnessa1628
reasemblance1638
consimilarity1658
similariness1669
similarness1670
consimility1680
kindredship1733
family likeness1759
family resemblance1785
cognateness1816
feel1892
the world > relative properties > relationship > similarity > [noun] > a similarity
similitudec1405
likeliness?a1425
resembling1482
likelihood1495
resemblance1532
semblable1547
likeness1598
conformitya1639
commonalty1841
the world > relative properties > relationship > similarity > [noun] > (of a picture, etc.) to the object represented
likelihood1495
faithfulness1602
naturalness1624
life1638
life touch1671
lifelikeness1835
1495 Trevisa's Bartholomeus De Proprietatibus Rerum (de Worde) Prol. sig. Aij/1 Parables. & semblaunces. or liklihodes of thynges naturelles and artyfycyelles.
1548 E. Gest Treat. againste Masse sig. Biv Sacramentes (sayth Augustin) vnlesse they haue certayne lykelyhode wyth the thynges wherof they be sygnes, they be no Sacramentes at al.
1567 J. Maplet Greene Forest f. 11 It is called Iris for likeloode to the Rainebow.
a1591 R. Greenham Serm. (1599) i. 96 Thus wee see what likelihood there is betweene the spirit and fire.
1614 W. Raleigh Hist. World i. i. ii. §2. 27 There is no likelihood betweene pure light and blacke darknesse.
1688 R. Holme Acad. Armory iii. 200/1 Fables [are] Tales of Untruth, yet have a likelyhood of Truth.
1781 R. Jephson Count of Narbonne i. i. 5 'Tis Godfrey's calumny; he has coin'd this lie; And his late visit to the holy land, No doubt, has furnish'd likelihood of proof.
1893 J. Rhoades Teresa 4 There's no more likelihood between his blood and thine, than between good drink and standing water.
3. The fact or quality of being promising or having a prospect of success. Cf. likeliness n. 3. Now rare.
ΘΚΠ
the mind > mental capacity > expectation > hope > promise, ground of hope > [noun]
i-wonc1275
wonec1290
likelinessa1450
hopec1480
likelihood1526
promise?1533
show1600
expectance1602
expectation1611
auspiciousness1649
hopefulness1651
promisingness1665
expectancy1696
brilliancy1781
1526 Eltham Ordinances in Coll. Ordinances Royal Househ. (1790) 146 None other to be admitted into any roome, office, or place, within the King's said household..but such as be of good towardnesse, likelyhood, behaviour, demeanour, and conversation.
1564 A. Golding tr. Justinus Hist. Trogus Pompeius vii. f. 36v Amongst all the noble and valiaunt Dukes and captains that the Atheniens had before him, there was neuer none, either of greater likelihode, or of more ripe towardnes then he was.
1606 G. W. tr. Justinus Hist. vi. 31 Amongst all the..Captaines..there was none of greater likelihood.
1792 Analyt. Rev. June 146 This special pleader is ‘a fellow of some likelihood.’
1837 C. Lamb Lett. (1837) II. 40 There are actresses of greater merit and likelihood than you.
1847 L. Hunt Men, Women, & Bks. II. x. 232 An individual of no mark or likelihood.
1903 J. Davidson Knight of Maypole iii. 60 Let us have a long talk, Master Trenchard! I have noted you, and you seem to me a man of much likelihood.
1979 Rev. Eng. Stud. 30 189 An exhaustive list of the notabilities of the day..included not only Scott, Wordsworth, ad Byron,..but also others of no mark or likelihood.
4. Something that is likely or probable. Also: something that gives grounds for a probable inference, an indication or sign. Frequently in plural.
ΘΚΠ
society > communication > indication > [noun] > an indication or sign
tokeningc888
fingereOE
senyeOE
markOE
showing?c1225
blossomc1230
signa1325
signifyingc1384
evidencea1393
notea1398
forbysena1400
kenninga1400
knowinga1400
showerc1400
unningc1400
signala1413
signification?a1425
demonstrancec1425
cenyc1440
likelinessc1450
ensign1474
signifure?a1475
outshowinga1500
significativea1500
witter1513
precedent1518
intimation1531
signifier1532
meith1533
monument1536
indicion?1541
likelihood1541
significator1554
manifest1561
show1561
evidency1570
token-teller1574
betokener1587
calendar1590
instance1590
testificate1590
significant1598
crisis1606
index1607
impression1613
denotementa1616
story1620
remark1624
indicium1625
denotation1633
indice1636
signum1643
indiction1653
trace1656
demonstrator1657
indication1660
notationa1661
significatory1660
indicator1666
betrayer1678
demonstration1684
smell1691
wittering1781
notaa1790
blazonry1850
sign vehicle1909
marker1919
rumble1927
the mind > attention and judgement > testing > attestation, witness, evidence > [noun] > evidence given, testimony > based on probability or circumstances
likelinessc1450
likelihood1541
presumption1592
circumstantial evidence1736
presumptive evidence1766
indirect evidence1824
1541–2 Act 33 Henry VIII c. 21 in Statutes of Realm (1963) III. 857 The lykelyhoodes and apparances being so farre contrarye to that whiche..is nowe founde trewe.
1575 G. Gascoigne Noble Arte Venerie ix. 23 If there be two [dewclaws], it is an euill likelyhoode.
a1616 W. Shakespeare Two Gentlemen of Verona (1623) v. ii. 41 These likelihoods confirme her flight from hence. View more context for this quotation
1649 J. Milton Εικονοκλαστης xii. 119 Against which testimonies, likelyhoods, evidences,..the bare denyall of one man..cannot..countervaile.
1729 J. Willison Def. National Churches vi. 102 Many pregnant Presumptions and concurring Likelihoods will, when laid all together, amount to a good Evidence.
1797 Reasons against National Despondency 87 If the reasoning be just, that chain of likelihoods upon which Mr. Erskine suspends his assertion is burst in every link.
1853 C. Brontë Villette II. xxvii. 273 M. de Bassompierre, for his part, seemed..unconscious as any child to the signs, the likelihoods, the fitful beginnings of what, when it drew to an end, he might not approve.
1889 ‘M. Twain’ Connecticut Yankee xxvii. 259 In truth the law of prophecy doth contradict the likelihoods, most strangely making the difficult easy, and the easy difficult.
1931 T. S. Moore Poems 25 As women creep out to the walls To find their wounded husband or dead son, His fears came out to rummage likelihoods.
1999 R. R. Wilson Boundaries 212 The first brother began by assuming a single proposition that was contrary to reason and to the likelihoods of experience.

Phrases

P1. by all (also most) likelihood: in all probability, probably. Formerly also †by likelihood. Now rare.Commoner than of (all) likelihood at Phrases 2, in (all) likelihood at Phrases 3 before the 17th cent.
ΘΚΠ
the mind > mental capacity > belief > uncertainty, doubt, hesitation > probability, likelihood > [adverb]
welleOE
lightly1395
likely1395
likinglyc1395
by (also of) likeliheadc1405
by (also of) likelinessc1405
by all (also most) likelihood1427
provably1460
of (all) likelihood1491
belike?1531
like1548
belikelya1551
in (all) likelihood1570
probably1600
by (also in) probabilitya1602
in (also by) all probability1617
presumably1658
prob.1730
nigh hand1848
predictably1914
prolly1922
odds-on1976
1427by liklihode [see sense 1a].
1433 Rolls of Parl.: Henry VI (Electronic ed.) Parl. July 1433 §17. m. 16 Þe which had ellys by liklyhode be lost.
1486 Countess of Oxford in Paston Lett. & Papers (2004) II. 447 To the entente, by alle lykelyhod, to finde the waies and meanes to gete him shipping.
1525 Ld. Berners tr. J. Froissart Cronycles II. clxviii. [clxiv.] 270 Their speres grated nat; if they had, by moost lykelhod they had taken hurte.
1585 Abp. E. Sandys Serm. xvi. 287 The eldest & therefore by likelyhoode the discreetest seruaunt of his house.
1629 E. W. tr. L. Richeome Pilgrime of Loreto xx. 203 The house of Ioseph (which by likelihood was at Bethleem).
1697 W. Dampier New Voy. around World v. 95 By all likelihood these ridges of Mountains do run in a continued Chain from one end of Peru and Chili to the other.
1841 Blackwood's Edinb. Mag. Dec. 750/1 Homer..would not, by all likelihood, be more archaic in his colouring of style than the Froissart of Lord Berners is to ourselves.
1894 Macmillan's Mag. Nov. 48/2 One servant..runs away to tell the master of the house that the Devil is at the door..and, ‘By likelihood he is come for your soul.’
1939 Manch. Guardian 22 Feb. 16/1 A country with 50,000 fewer people in employment now than it had a year ago is by all likelihood earning less and saving less.
2000 D. N. Chorafas New Regulation Financial Industry xi. 181 While it is true that public opinion may exercise pressure, by all likelihood this will be felt in an indirect way via legislators.
P2. of (all) likelihood: in all probability; probably. Obsolete.
ΘΚΠ
the mind > mental capacity > belief > uncertainty, doubt, hesitation > probability, likelihood > [adverb]
welleOE
lightly1395
likely1395
likinglyc1395
by (also of) likeliheadc1405
by (also of) likelinessc1405
by all (also most) likelihood1427
provably1460
of (all) likelihood1491
belike?1531
like1548
belikelya1551
in (all) likelihood1570
probably1600
by (also in) probabilitya1602
in (also by) all probability1617
presumably1658
prob.1730
nigh hand1848
predictably1914
prolly1922
odds-on1976
1491–2 Rolls of Parl.: Henry VII (Electronic ed.) Parl. Oct. 1491 §21. m. 9 Every quinzime..of liklyhode shalbe gretly mynysshed and lessed.
1529 T. More Dyaloge Dyuers Maters i. f. xviv/2 To say the trouth I am not very sure of the time, but..yt was of lyklyhod ye same nyght.
1580 J. Bell tr. J. Foxe Pope Confuted i. f. 19 So also may ye right well perceiue..that the selfesame may..nowe of all likelyhood chaunce vnto you.
1602 W. Watson Decacordon Ten Quodlibeticall Questions 121 Who of likelihood..was possessed..with so affectionate an opinion of his brothers aduancement, that [etc.].
1682 P. Walsh Prospect State Ireland ii. 55 This of all likelihood was one of the causes or means whereby Ireland began suddenly to flourish above any Countrey of Europe at that time in Learning.
1897 C. L. Ford Org. State viii. 276 Ordinary wants would of likelihood be published in it for five cents, and possibly one cent.
P3. in (all) likelihood: in all probability; probably.
ΘΚΠ
the mind > mental capacity > belief > uncertainty, doubt, hesitation > probability, likelihood > [adverb]
welleOE
lightly1395
likely1395
likinglyc1395
by (also of) likeliheadc1405
by (also of) likelinessc1405
by all (also most) likelihood1427
provably1460
of (all) likelihood1491
belike?1531
like1548
belikelya1551
in (all) likelihood1570
probably1600
by (also in) probabilitya1602
in (also by) all probability1617
presumably1658
prob.1730
nigh hand1848
predictably1914
prolly1922
odds-on1976
1570 T. Norton Disclosing of Great Bull sig. A.iijv The Lord be mercifull vnto vs and preserue our Prince, and contrey, which without our prince can not in all likelihode be preserued.
1600 W. Shakespeare Much Ado about Nothing iv. i. 238 Then I can lay it downe in likelihood . View more context for this quotation
1631 J. Weever Anc. Funerall Monuments 812 It hath no Inscription, but in likelyhood it is the Tombe of Sir Roger.
1664 H. Power Exper. Philos. Concl. 189 In all likelihood, he that made this great Automaton of the world, will not destroy it.
1762 H. Walpole Vertue's Anecd. Painting I. vii. 152 Oliver..was in all likelyhood of French extraction.
1832 J. K. Paulding Selim 194 Our vessel will be dashed to pieces, and in all likelihood every soul on board will perish.
1862 J. W. Carlyle Lett. III. 102 In all likelihood we will go home together on Monday.
1926 Southwestern Polit. & Social Sci. Q. 7 295 Had Dom Pedro refused to accept the rôle that was thrust upon him, Brazil would in likelihood have had a period of..bloodshed for the first fifty years of her history.
1940 K. Roberts Oliver Wiswell lix. 524 If you send Nathan to an English school, he'll in all likelihood turn out a snob, a toady or a rake.
2008 Independent 7 Jan. 41/7 Whoever wins, though, will in all likelihood discover that their victory is, initially, something of a poisoned chalice.

Compounds

(In sense 1c.)
likelihood function n. Statistics a function of the parameters of a statistical model equal to the probability or probability density function for one or more outcomes of the trial being modelled.
ΘΚΠ
the world > relative properties > number > probability or statistics > [noun] > likelihood
likelihood1921
maximum likelihood1922
likelihood ratio1931
likelihood function1932
1932 Biometrika 24 476 For a specified sample (i) F, (ii) Fa and (iii) Fm may be considered as functions of population parameters, and will be called likelihood functions.
1962 J. Riordan Stochastic Service Syst. vi. 126 The formulation of a likelihood function for the stationary case is excessively complicated.
2005 J. R. Skalski et al. Wildlife Demogr. Appendix A 566 Any two parameter estimates from the same likelihood function might also be expected to depend on one another.
likelihood ratio n. Statistics the ratio of two different likelihoods, each corresponding to a differently valued parameters, used to compare different statistical models.
ΘΚΠ
the world > relative properties > number > probability or statistics > [noun] > likelihood
likelihood1921
maximum likelihood1922
likelihood ratio1931
likelihood function1932
1931 Bull. Internat. de l'Acad. Polonaise des Sci. et des Lett., Classe des Sci. Math. et Nat. (Ser. A: Sci. Math.) 480 For this purpose we have used the likelihood ratio, to pick out the appropriate criterion by which to test a given hypothesis.
1933 Biometrika 25 103 Making use of what has been termed the likelihood ratio, they have shown how a number of existing tests and certain new ones are brought into conformity.
1972 A. W. F. Edwards Likelihood ix. 176 Neyman and Pearson were attracted to the likelihood ratio on intuitive grounds in advance of their realization that their theory of testing led necessarily to it.
2007 N. Summerton Patient-centred Diagnosis iii. 25 Likelihood-ratios can easily be harnessed to assist in rational decision-making.
This entry has been updated (OED Third Edition, June 2016; most recently modified version published online March 2022).
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