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单词 law of averages
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law of averages
law of averages n. strictly = law of large numbers at large adj., adv., and n. Phrases 5; popularly, the (false) belief that future events are likely to be such as to reduce any overall deviation from an average represented by past events (= Monte Carlo fallacy n. at Monte Carlo n. 2b).
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the world > relative properties > number > probability or statistics > [noun] > probability > theoretical approach to
law of large numbers1837
Bayes' theorem1865
law of averages1875
probability theory1908
renewal theory1915
Bayesianism1976
1857 H. T. Buckle Hist. Civilisation Eng. I. i. 22 The great advance made by the statisticians consists in applying to these inquiries [into crime] the doctrine of averages, which no one thought of doing before the eighteenth century.]
1875 F. Arnold Our Bishops & Deans I. vi. 323 Here is the briefest and most complete refutation of Mr. Buckle's ‘Law of Averages’ with which we are acquainted.
1915 Illustr. World Oct. 222 All business of today takes cognizance of the law of averages.
1927 Pop. Mech. Mar. 405/1 To get a working understanding of the law of averages for your own purposes..you begin by keeping records.
1941 W. J. Cash Mind of South ii. ii. 155 If, under the law of averages for human nature, the majority of even the better sort did inevitably compromise, then they compromised by iotas and jots.
1968 R. Kyle Love Lab. (1969) viii. 109 Prescott knew, from the Kinsey material and the law of averages, that the Prosecutor himself was not without guilt.
1986 Times 5 June 39 The law of averages dictated that there would eventually be a line of dialogue that did not sound as if it came from a B-movie.
1993 M. Atwood Robber Bride li. 404 Tony is betting on the law of averages. Sooner or later..Zenia will appear.
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